Somersault And More Upcoming Events Drive More Opportunities.
As of Tuesday Closing Market The index has yet to recover the 10 day moving average, leaving a bigger security risk for the market. After the whole day's finishing on Tuesday, the three sides of the disk were reduced, the theme of speculation was lighter, the popularity began to disperse, and the earning effect weakened. The net outflow of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 constituent stocks continued to appear. Few sectors such as daily chemical, steel, charging piles, Internet and other sectors maintained a weak rise; most sectors such as aviation, Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, glyphosate and semiconductors fell more deeply.
Key news shows:
1, the NDRC is studying to further liberalize prices. National Development and Reform Commission The Secretary General and spokesman Li Pumin said at a news conference held in October 14th that the development and Reform Commission will further advance. price reform Let's unlock a number of prices of goods and services priced by the government. At the same time, in order to further promote the reform of the examination and approval system, enhance the spanparency of the examination and approval matters and develop the reform work, we will develop the government service hall of the Reform Commission in the near future.
2, CPI will be released today or back to the "1" era in September. A number of agencies predict that the pork price and the tail factor will fall back. In September, the CPI rose or returned to the "1" era. The increase is expected to drop to around 1.6%, and this increase will hit a new low in the year. Experts said that prices in the second half of the year are expected to be lower than the first half of the year.
3, oil and gas prices plummeted by 4.6% on Tuesday. On Tuesday (October 14th), in the US market, New York crude oil futures in November fell to a new low, plunging 3.90 U.S. dollars, or 4.6%, closing at 81.84 US dollars / barrel, the largest single day decline since November 2012 and the lowest closing position since 2012 June.
Tianxin prediction:
As for the recent trend, we have predicted the process, but there are differences in the prediction of the results. On Tuesday, it again showed a trend of sharp fall. Once again, it fell down after the defeat of the attack, and Tuesday's market was running in the lower shadow area of the Monday index operation. The market had stayed for several days at the 2400 integer pass, but it had not yet been able to break through.
The central bank once again launched a guide to the expected rate of interest rate. On Tuesday, the central bank launched a 20 billion and 14 day repurchase, winning the bid rate of 3.4%, down from 10BP last time, and the lowest in three and a half years. This is the second time the central bank has lowered the repo rate since the three quarter. On the eve of the three quarter economic data disclosure, the central bank again launched a guide to lower interest rates, which released a heavy signal that monetary easing could still be expected under the expected economic downturn.
Judging from the KDJ index, the three line K-line, the D line and the J line of the KDJ index today show a high position against the dead fork, indicating strong demand for the stock index adjustment. Judging from the MACD index, the green column of the MACD index is elongated today, and the high passivation of the yellow and white line indicates a huge gap between the two sides. Analysts believe that the stock index has been in a high overbought area for a long time. High volatility is the normal trend of technology and there is no need to panic.
In recent days, there has been a characteristic of the work of Sanlian Yin, which is the emergence of phased diving in the market. The main reason for the big dive in the big market is the accumulation of profit taking and factors such as the peripheral market plummeting. But this month, there are still a lot of good news that will continue to force the index to continue. For example, the PMI in September also stabilized and the foreign trade data also showed positive results. In addition, the Fourth Plenary Session of this month is still expected to exist. Combined with Shanghai and Hong Kong's possible downward trend, the delay will not be too long, and it may still be announced this month. These favorable factors are important conditions to support the index. Apart from the economy, the market itself is in a strong pattern, which is also a major factor. The recent tri Yin reversion is only due to the concentrated distribution of profit taking stages, but there has been no panic selling, indicating that the overall trend of the market has not changed. The Shanghai Stock Exchange is expected to hit a new high soon, and investors need not panic. Recently, the better performance of the plate is driven by favorable policies. It is suggested that investors can tap investment opportunities in this area. They can pay close attention to some sectors which are benefited by policies, and at the same time, they can also focus on event driven themes and carry out hidden operations ahead of time.
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